Two years ago, Sen Ted Cruz (R-TX) made a strong bid for the GOP presidential nomination, which eventually went to Donald Trump.
This year, Cruz seems to be in the tightest political campaign race of his career.
He is being opposed by Rep. Beto O’Rourke, a Democrat from El Paso.
For most of the year, Cruz has held a lead in all of the polls, but that lead has been slowly slipping away as the crucial midterm elections draw near.
In a recent poll, not only has O’Rourke closed the gap between him and Cruz, but he has taken a narrow 2-point lead, giving Democrats renewed hope of taking control of the Senate.
(The Texas Tribune) – U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-El Paso, leads Republican incumbent Ted Cruz by 2 percentage points among likely voters, according to an Ipsos online poll released Wednesday in conjunction with Reuters and the University of Virginia. O’Rourke has been closing the gap over the last several months, but this is the first poll that puts him ahead of Cruz.
Forty-seven percent of likely voters told Reuters they would vote for O’Rourke, while 45 percent said they would cast their ballot for Cruz. Three percent said they would vote for “Other,” and 5 percent said “None.” The margin of error on that portion of the poll was 3.5 percentage points.
A Quinnipiac poll released Tuesday put Cruz 9 percentage points ahead of O’Rourke among likely voters. That poll was based on phone interviews, while the Ipsos poll used an online survey. But it’s trying to predict who will show up on Election Day that shifts the numbers, said Ipsos Vice President Chris Jackson…
There are several things to remember about this latest poll.
There are just under 7 weeks left before the midterm elections and a lot can happen during that time.
Second, most polls had Hillary Clinton as a decisive winner in 2016 indicating that polls don’t always predict reality.
Third, if the poll was conducted in the major metropolitan areas, then naturally they will favor the Democrat, which makes one wonder about the methods behind such a poll.
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